sagas of icelanders

Eliezer Yudkowsky — Bayes’s Theorem for the curious and bewildered; an excruciatingly gentle introduction. Why does a mathematical concept generate this strange enthusiasm in its students? What is the so-called Bayesian Revolution now sweeping through the sciences, which claims to subsume even the experimental method itself as a special case? What is the secret that the adherents of Bayes know? What is the light that they have seen? Soon you will know. Soon you will be one of us.